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# PP and Vox on 202 seats in new poll
- URL: https://barna.news/pp-and-vox-on-202-seats-in-new-poll/
- Published: 2026-11-09T08:42:50.000Z
- Updated: 2026-11-09T08:42:50.000Z
- Description: A SocioMétrica poll for El Español projects a PP-Vox majority of 202 seats if elections were held today, with PSOE on 108.
- Author: Barna.News News Desk
- Tags: politics, Trending Now

## Right bloc nears governing majority

According to a new electoral poll published on Sunday 8th November 2026 by SocioMétrica for El Español, the Partido Popular (PP) and Vox would secure a combined 202 seats in the Congress of Deputies if general elections were held today. The projection includes two deputies from the PP-UPN coalition in Navarra, giving the right-wing bloc enough seats to form a parliamentary majority. The PP is projected to win 136 seats with 32% of the vote, while Vox would rise to 66 seats, up from 33 in the 2023 elections, on 18.9% support. The poll suggests the PSOE would win 108 seats (27.7% of the vote), recovering two seats lost following the Urda railway accident in July 2026, which killed 69 people. The resignation of former Transport Minister Óscar Puente is cited as a factor that may have slowed electoral decline for Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez.

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## Sánchez bloc falls short of majority

The group of parties that supported Sánchez’s investiture in the last legislature would collectively hold only 145 seats under the poll’s projections, 31 short of the 176 needed for an absolute majority. Within this bloc, a joint ERC-Podemos list would win nine seats in Catalonia, while Junts would drop to six. Ada Colau’s Front Ampli is projected to win five seats, a sharp decline from Sumar’s 31 seats in 2023\. Podemos, running separately in some regions, would gain just 1.2% of the national vote where it runs alone, leaving its representation in doubt. In Madrid, party leader Irene Montero would not be guaranteed a seat as lead candidate. Se Acabó La Fiesta (SALF), led by Alvise Pérez, would receive 2.2% of the vote, more than Podemos in percentage terms, but fail to win any seats.

> The study has been conducted by SocioMétrica, a member of Insight Analytics, using a non-probabilistic online panel with 5,460 interviews conducted since 1 September 2026.

## Left sovereignist parties gain ground

Sovereignist left parties are projected to win 26 seats overall. EH Bildu would surge to eight seats in the Basque Country, while Adelante Andalucía would win three. The PNV would fall to three seats. The PSOE remains the leading party only in Catalonia. The PP would lead in 13 of Spain’s 17 autonomous communities, plus Ceuta and Melilla. Vox would make significant gains in Andalusia (up six seats), Madrid, Catalonia, and Castilla y León (four more each). The PSOE would lose three seats in Andalusia, a setback for María Jesús Montero, the party’s number two and former deputy prime minister. General elections are scheduled for 29th November 2026\. The next official campaign period begins on Tuesday 10th November 2026.

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*Sources:* [*El Nacional*](https://www.elnacional.cat/ca/politica/nova-enquesta-dona-202-escons-pp-vox-deixa-bloc-sanchez-lluny-majoria%5F1722479%5F102.html?ref=barna.news)*,* [*El Español*](https://www.elespanol.com/espana/politica/20261108/pp-vox-suman-escanos-sanchez-recupera-perdio-urda-dimision-puente-sondeo-noche/1003744450645%5F0.html?ref=barna.news)*.*

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